How will abortion and marijuana ballot initiatives impact Ohio's November turnout?
A nurse holds a sign in support of abortion access at a Planned Parenthood rally in Downtown Cincinnati on May 15, 2022.
When it comes to midterms or odd-year elections, though, “that’s where a well-financed or a hot button ballot measure can really impact outcomes.” Regardless of an issue’s salience, Binder stressed that a well-financed campaign for or against an initiative is crucial for turnout. Even an issue with universal appeal won’t bring voters to the polls if they don’t know about it.Ohio State University political scientist Vladimir Kogan cautioned against over-interpreting the impact of initiatives on the ballot.
“The important thing is not the overall turnout but who’s voting,” Kogan said, “and again we know that not only this turnout overall quite different off-cycle but particularly the age profile. Really, it’s a much, much older electorate that votes in these lower turnout elections.”What the campaigns say
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How will two hot-button ballot initiatives impact Ohio’s November turnout?Ohioans could wind up voting on two hot button issues at the same time in November if both petitions are verified: An abortion rights amendment and a recreational marijuana statute.
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