How Herschel Walker could win Georgia's Senate race.
Brian KempThe steady stream of tough headlines for Herschel Walker has always obscured one stubborn fact about the Senate race in Georgia: He could still win.
The Walker campaign, by contrast, is relying on Gov. Brian Kemp — who is no longer on the ballot — to drag a weak candidate across the finish line. Senate Republicans have basically rented Kemp’s field program for the runoff, but it’s not at all clear that an operation built to turn out voters for Kemp can change gears so easily. Walker drew about 200,000 fewer votes than Kemp did, suggesting that there’s a large chunk of Republican voters who find the Senate hopeful unworthy.
Kemp is leaning heavily on an anti-Biden message as he stumps for Walker. “Herschel Walker will vote for Georgia — not be another rubber stamp for Joe Biden,” the governor says in one ad. The compressed time frame might play to Walker’s advantage, too. In 2021, there were nine weeks between Election Day and the combined runoff and special election for Georgia’s two Senate seats; Democrats used that time to out-organize Republicans. This year, because of a new Georgia election law, the runoff period is just four weeks, with less time for early voting.
A surge in turnout among Black voters helped Warnock win in 2021. “A similar increase this time,” Cohn wrote, “might give Warnock a fairly comfortable victory.” But there’s no reason to think that history will repeat itself.It’s never wise to read too much into the early voting numbers, and one can make a plausible case for either candidate.
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Top Georgia Republican reveals he didn't vote for Herschel WalkerThe state's Republican lieutenant governor said in October that Walker hadn't yet 'earned my vote.'
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