OPEC+ is struggling to produce enough crude oil to hit production targets, so oil will continue to strengthen as economies around the world reopen.
markets are on the back foot at the moment, which does make sense due to the fact that we have seen so much in the way of negativity as far as reacting to central banks is concerned. When you look at this chart, you can see that we barely broke above the $85 level, but we were also overextended. With that in mind, it does make sense that we need to pull back.
That does not necessarily mean that there are going to be shortages or anything like that, but it should put a little bit of a bid underneath the crude oil market. However, this does not necessarily mean that it will be easy for this market to simply take off towards the $100 level. That is the consensus, but at the end of the day there is nothing more important than price, and narratives are just that: narratives.
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