After three major campaign launches the GOP field is finally set — and as always, the 45th president’s antics are a shadow hanging over the race.
appears to be recurring in the immediate wake of the second indictment on federal charges involving mishandling of classified documents. Will that persist through subsequent criminal legal proceedings, or will the “Trump fatigue” his rivals have counted on finally materialize? We don’t know, but we do know that much of this dynamic in the race is far beyond the control of the candidates challenging Trump.
So it’s an open question how many candidates will still be around when the Iowa caucuses formally launch the nomination contest next January. In 2016,Once voting does begin, candidate strategies should be relatively simple this time around. The field can be conveniently divided between the two front-runners and everyone else. At this early juncture, Trump is in a reasonably good position to nail down the nomination with victories in all four early states .
How much winnowing of the field happens in the Hawkeye State is another big question. The conventional wisdom for years has been that there are “three tickets out of Iowa.” But how many candidacies effectively die in the caucuses depends on a lot of variables, including performance against expectations and the possible emergence of a non-Trump, non-DeSantis dark horse who becomes an activist or media favorite.
If multiple candidates do stick it out, delegate-selection rules could help finish off the dark horses before long. Unlike Democrats, Republicans do not have strict proportionality requirements for delegate rewards. In fact, after March 15, states can elect to hold
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