Pennsylvania is the top battleground state that President Joe Biden needs to win to stave off a 2024 loss to Donald Trump or an electoral tie.
In contrast, Texas gained two congressional seats while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each gained one congressional seat.
“Trump wins here, it’s over,” Galko said about the Keystone State. “If one state can determine your fate, it’s where you want to be, as evidenced by the fact that he was here multiple stops last week.”Much of the Keystone State’s population loss was in counties Biden won in 2020.from Franklin & Marshall College showed counties that voted for Trump in 2020 increased by roughly 4,500 people, while the 13 counties that supported Biden declined by more than 45,000 people.
The president held a three-day tour through Pennsylvania this week, seeking to portray himself as the, in contrast to Trump’s chumminess with the billionaire class, in his childhood hometown of Scranton. Trump, meanwhile, has mostly kept to New York, where he is facing a criminal trial over a hush money payment scheme during the 2016 election., a reliable blue state, due to the trial.
In the event of an electoral tie, the House of Representatives would elect the next president of the U.S., according to the 12th Amendment. But the process isn’t a simple majority vote of the entire House. “Of course, if took North Carolina, that almost offsets Pennsylvania,” said Merrill Matthews, resident scholar at the Institute for Policy Innovation. “So my sense is he really needs to win Pennsylvania, but I think you could probably make it work the other way.”
However, the current members of the House would not decide the election. That would be left to the next members of Congress, who will also be on the ballot during the Nov. 5 elections and sworn into Congress in January 2025.
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