For a while, Donald Trump's harsh rhetoric seemed to deter migrants. It has not lasted
promised to resort to untested measures to keep Mexican migrants from crossing America’s southern border. The promise contained at least two nagging flaws. The first is an outdated view. Migration of Mexicans is down by 90% from its peak in 2000; now most border-hoppers come from the “Northern Triangle” of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador.
Mexico is not doing this purely to upset Mr Trump. It wants to reduce the $2.5bn that Mexican organised crime reaps from trafficking migrants each year. Olga Sánchez Cordero, Mexico’s secretary of the interior, recently told diplomats that “by history, tradition and conviction, Mexicans are a people in solidarity with those who arrive in our country.
For a sense of why this is so, look at Tapachula, a tropical town near Mexico’s border with Guatemala. Tales of gang threats and dead relatives abound. A farmer from Honduras complains of plunging coffee prices, reduced rainfall and insect plagues destroying his crops. Many migrants wait in the hot sun to apply for asylum. Mexico received nearly 8,000 requests in January and February, more than all the requests in 2013, 2014 and 2015 combined.
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