Why Experts Doubt Warm Weather Will Slow Coronavirus Spread

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Why Experts Doubt Warm Weather Will Slow Coronavirus Spread
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The presence of warmer weather, together with the summer closing of schools, is not enough “alone to slow transmission enough to make a big dent,” according to Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch

Photo: Antonio Masiello/Getty Images One of many tidbits of misinformation the president has broadcast during the coronavirus outbreak is his belief that warm weather will halt the spread of COVID-19. “The heat, generally speaking, kills this kind of virus,” Trump told a group of governors in February, adding that he anticipated an end to the pandemic by early April.

New viruses have a temporary but important advantage — few or no individuals in the population are immune to them. Old viruses, which have been in the population for longer, operate on a thinner margin — most individuals are immune, and they have to make do with transmitting among the few who aren’t. In simple terms, viruses that have been around for a long time can make a living — spread through the population — only when the conditions are the most favorable, in this case in winter.

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