'There's good reason to be cautiously optimistic,' Dr. Jim Versalovic, pathologist in chief at Texas Children's Hospital, told ABC News.
But experts said testing data is not robust as it was during the last two school years, making it difficult to compare current data to previous seasons.
What's more, the weekly case rate has massively declined since the summer. Just two months earlier, the case rate among 5 to 11-year-olds was 114.6 per 100,000. Meanwhile, 31.4% of 5-to-11-year-olds are fully vaccinated. While uptake in this age group has severely lagged older children, vaccination. It's a substantial increase from 0.4% this time last year.
"There are some important caveats," Dr. John Brownstein, an epidemiologist at Boston Children's Hospital and an ABC News contributor, told ABC News. "We know that overall testing, test volume is down. Incentives for testing have changed, we've seen that reduction in test-to-stay programs." Brownstein said there is cause for optimism because a new variant has yet to emerge -- the omicron variant and its subvariants havefor almost a year compared to 2021 when the dominant variant changed every few months.
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