Need to Know: Beware the extreme bullishness putting stocks at risk
There’s plenty of cheer being passed around for a Friday, and we can thank China for a chunk of that.
Knight puts together the chart that shows some recent history on the S&P 500’s behavior, when the percentage of bullish investors topped 40% and bears dipped below 30%. Levels above 40% preceded pullbacks in early October and November, though the reading for early December’s sentiment came in at around 38%.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch bank added that equity buying has largely been centered on growth stocks, not value — undervalued companies that can offer long-term profits if you do your homework. Gross also said if he were to pass on his “bond-king” crown, it wouldn’t be to DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Gundlach, but to Scott Minerd, the chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners, for his “great, long-term perspective.”
The stat $66 billion — That’s the amount of foreign inflows that could be hitting China later this year after MSCI announced it will lift the inclusion of Chinese large-cap stocks to 20% from 5% now. The announcement comes as stocks in the region are blasting higher, with the Shanghai Composite up 20% year to date and dominating when it comes to winning global equity indexes right now.
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