Joe Biden has a solid standing atop national polls, but his performance in Iowa and New Hampshire is middling. Some Democratic analysts think the dual tracks are unsustainable.
Or he’s faltering, slipping into fourth place as he loses ground to Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and an ascendant Pete Buttigieg.Those alternate realities are playing out in real time — reflected in Biden’s solid standing atop national polls versus his middling performance in Iowa and New Hampshire surveys on the other.
But the states that immediately follow New Hampshire — South Carolina and Nevada— tell a different story. Biden has consistently dominated in South Carolina and steadily leads in Nevada. Biden advisers argue that’s because of more diverse electorates in those states: About 21 percent of Nevada’s caucusgoers are expected to be nonwhite, as are two-thirds of South Carolina’s primary voters.
“We have to confront the awful reality now that Trump’s illicit campaign to use Ukraine to bloody the leading Democratic candidate may be in fact working,” said Simon Rosenberg, founder of the New Democrat Network and a senior strategist for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.echoing that sentiment, saying Trump “wants to choose the nominee, and we aren’t willing to let that happen.
Still, there’s no question Biden has lost ground in Iowa, steadily declining in local polling since the start of 2019. Former Vice President Joe Biden speaks in Des Moines, Iowa. The Biden campaign has one of the most robust paid staffs in the state — more than 100. | Scott Olson/Getty Images
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