The US and Russia have more than 90% of the world's nukes. It's up to them to lead the way in arms control in 2020
And foreign leaders everywhere may be calculating that they are better off waiting out this American president, in case a more amenable one is in place come 2021.
And unless both America and Russia agree to an extension, the New START treaty, signed in 2010, will lapse in early 2021. Those two countries still have more than 90% of the world’s nukes. New START limits the size of their arsenals and sets the rules for an intrusive regime of inspections. With no constraints in place, the way would be open to a new nuclear arms race.Mr Trump dislikes New START, just as he trashes everything else associated with his predecessor, Barack Obama.
One is with Iran. Energetic efforts by France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, to broker a meeting, or at least a conversation, between Mr Trump and President Hassan Rouhani point to the possibility of an updated nuclear accord. Mr Trump needs good headlines. Iran has a pressing interest in the easing of sanctions and Mr Rouhani has said he sees the French initiative as an “acceptable” basis for negotiations.
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