Donald Trump could become the first president in US history to be convicted of a crime. But will that sway voters come November?
A jury is deliberating whether Donald Trump will be the first president in U.S. history to be convicted of a crime. But will a conviction have any sway on the 2024 presidential election? Polls and political analysts agree that a guilty verdict for Trump in his New York hush-money trial wouldn’t move the needle at all for his most ardent supporters. But it could have an impact on undecided voters and independents – and that may be enough to keep Trump from reclaiming the nation’s highest office.
"Demographic after demographic, issue after issue, this give and take occurs throughout campaigns – always looking for a weakness which cannot be effectively defended," Hackney said. "This happens less in a race like Biden versus Trump, where there are a lot of voters who have so strongly identified with what ‘tribe’ they belong to, there is no message which can impact their support – even shooting someone in the middle of 5th Avenue NYC.
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