As a fortress forms in downtown Manhattan, researchers are seeing some signals online.
Is there a scale to help us understand the likelihood of that actually happening? I know that you’ll probably hate this comparison, but if you were a meteorologist, what’s the map behind you saying?It’s just really difficult to quantify. The baseline is we’re living in a time of heightened tensions where conspiracy theories and disinformation have pushed people toward the edge.
It’s just the same old. There’s always this steady, low-level call to take action in very veiled terms among Trump supporters that fear the end is imminent—this kind of quasi-religious, quasi-apocalyptic messaging. It’s hard to say if that’s increased; I don’t know that it has. But when you have a pressure point like Trump being indicted, you will have very small numbers of people that are willing to do real-world physical acts of violence.
That was a large part of what happened Jan. 6, except it wasn’t the justice system per se, it was the electoral system. So I think there is a useful analogy there. And to be honest, I think there’s a credible argument to be made that the timing of this seems oddly political. Given all the things that Trump has done over all the years, why now? There’s been reporting that the D.A., Alvin Bragg, had declined to try this case until he was pressured politically.
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