What to expect in this year's Oscar nominations | Jake Coyle / The Associated Press

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What to expect in this year's Oscar nominations | Jake Coyle / The Associated Press
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There were, admittedly, some notable distractions at last year’s ceremony, so you might have missed it: The old Oscar rules have gone out the window. Know more:

surprisingly missed out on a SAG nomination, but expect the academy to remedy that. More challenging is that, unlike “Everything Everywhere All at Once” or “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “The Fabelmans” underperformed at the box office. Ironically, the filmmaker who helped create the modern blockbuster will have to win despite the faint whiff of theatrical disappointment. Spielberg, though, appears headed for his ninth best director nomination, and very likely, his third win in the category.

Some would say that the Oscars could use such box-office hits. Ratings have tended to be higher in years where widely watched films are vying for best picture. In recent years, Oscar producers have vainly tried to add prizes for “best popular film” and Twitter-voted winners, and mostly only gotten mockery for their efforts. At the same time, more modest films — “CODA,” “Nomadland,” “Parasite,” “The Shape of Water,” “Moonlight” — have usually triumphed.

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