Theresa May's Brexit deal suffered another crushing defeat on Tuesday. Here's what could happen next.
Reuters TV via ReutersThe defeat means May will now hold a series of votes on leaving the EU without a deal, or delaying Brexit.MPs are pushing for a softer Brexit or a second EU referendum.
The prime minister has committed to holding two key votes this week. The first, on Wednesday, will ask whether MPs support a no-deal Brexit. The second, on Thursday, will ask them whether they wish to delay Brexit by extending Article 50. Remain-supporting MPs are planning to table an amendment to Thursday's motion which, if passed, would force the government to hold a series of indicative votes in parliament on possible Brexit outcomes, including a second referendum, a no-deal exit, and single market membership.
It is possible in such an outcome that the prime minister could be compelled to negotiate for a deal involving customs union membership, something that would likely require an extension of a couple of months. Britain may have little choice but to seek a lengthier extension however. With the EU setting a deadline of the last week of May for any short extension, the UK government may find itself forced into opting for a longer exit.Conservative grandee Simon Clarke, a leading Brexiteer and member of the ERG, broke ranks before Tuesday's vote to say that the prime minister should call a general election if she lost Tuesday's vote.
But this is no normal government and this is not normal times. There is some feeling that replacing her at this stage wouldn't achieve very much, especially if she was replaced by a Brexiteer who tried to push through a similarly undeliverable deal. One former minister who voted against the deal tonight told BI:"I'm not sure what replacing the prime minister would achieve."
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