Seth Walder gives his intel on some last-minutes bets to place on Sunday's NFL Week 4 games.
Sunday's kickoff is around the corner, and there's one thing left to do: Place some last-minute bets. If I'm placing bets on a Sunday, I'm not looking at full-game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week. Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty anyway: It's what I build statistical models around to try and find an edge.
If there's an advantage to be found now, I think it's in small markets. So come along for the ride and see how we fare diving deep into Sunday props. Results from last week are at the bottom of the story.over 0.5 interceptions Arthur Smith is apparently allergic to passing the ball, but this is one matchup they might have to, because the Jaguars rank third in EPA allowed per designed run . I don't have much confidence in Ridder, who currently ranks 29th in QBR, when he is asked to throw the ball. My model makes the fair price here +114.
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