One step at a time, inflation is coming down, including the stickier parts of it. The September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report carried relatively h
Headline US inflation exceeded estimates by staying at 3.7% YoY in September. Core inflation came down to 4.1%, meeting economists' estimates. Federal Reserve officials have been playing down the chances of another rate hike. igh expectations, making a miss more likely. Nevertheless, apart from US Dollar bulls, there is good news for all – contrary to the initial reaction. Food prices remain dear – more than compensating for a small drop in Oil prices.
The core data is what the Federal Reserve cares about – it is the kind of prices the central bank can impact. Higher rates discourage buying home and paying higher wages, which impact the services sector. Without a surprise in core prices, markets reacted to the small surprise in the headline, raising rate hike expectations via higher yields. The US Dollar advanced while stocks and Gold retreated.
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