U.S. 10-year tops 5% for first time in 16 years

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U.S. 10-year tops 5% for first time in 16 years
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Steven Goldstein is based in London and responsible for MarketWatch's coverage of financial markets in Europe, with a particular focus on global macro and commodities. Previously, he was Washington bureau chief, directing MarketWatch's economic, political and regulatory coverage. Follow Steve on Twitter: @MKTWgoldstein.

The key 10-year Treasury yield finally broke through the 5% mark for the first time in 16 years on Monday.

What’s happening What’s driving markets Yields have climbed in recent weeks in what Fed officials including Chair Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson have largely blamed on rising term premiums — the unobservable compensation that investors require for bearing the risk that rates may change.“Two things stood out in the FOMC’s most recent dot-plot – another rate hike may be appropriate, and the higher policy rate would be in place for longer than previous dot-plots had suggested.

The next Fed decision comes on Nov. 1, with expectations the central bank will pause and wait for more data before the December meeting. The rise in yields on Monday, however, may reflect the small amount of progress in the Middle East, as Hamas released two hostages and Israel has continued to hold off on a ground invasion in Gaza.

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