President Trump and his aides are betting they can flip New Mexico next fall and expand his electoral playing field
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — John McCain lost New Mexico by nearly 15 percentage points in 2008. Four years later, Mitt Romney pulled two top staffers from the ground here with weeks to go before Election Day — admitting defeat even before Barack Obama trounced him by 51 points in the Santa Fe area.
“As we started doing polling there, we saw a dramatic increase from 2016 and I went over this with the president and he said, ‘Let’s go straight into Albuquerque,’” Parscale recalled. By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time. The trend he describes is consistent with the Trump campaign’s attraction to New Mexico, though questions remain about whether the current political climate here is truly advantageous for the president. His net approval rating in the state has decreased by 34 percentage points since he took office, and recent matchup polls in bordering red Texas have shown him losing to the top three candidates in the Democratic presidential field.
Republicans in New Mexico are also eyeing retiring Democrat Tom Udall’s Senate seat as a means to boost voter turnout and help the president in 2020. Two Republican candidates have already declared — in addition to “10 different people who are interested in running,” whom Pearce says he has spoken to — though neither is viewed as particularly competitive in what is seen as a relatively safe seat for Democrats.
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