One big question that could swing the entire 2019 NFL season: How will Tom Brady and Drew Brees fare as they hit ages when few—if any—quarterbacks have ever been good before?
Even after the final good seasons for Hall of Fame QBs like Favre, Moon, Marino and Len Dawson, they still managed to eke out at least one more year of moderately effective play before either totally fading away or simply retiring. These relatively gentle declines offer one model for Brady and Brees to follow as the aging curve begins to hit hard.
Moon and Favre are especially interesting test cases, since each had been very good as they approached 40 before suffering down seasons. Both responded the following year with terrific performances, defying the effects of time, and then even hung on for another additional 5-AV season before the end truly came. A similar tale applied to Washington’s Sonny Jurgensen, who appeared to fall off a cliff at age 37 and played only 12 combined games across 1971 and ‘72.
And longtime Oilers and Raiders QB/kicker George Blanda is such an outlier that he deserves his own deep dive. Blanda was a full-time starter for just one season before age 33, but the upstart American Football League offered him the chance at a second act to his career. All he did with it was over his final 16 seasons in pro football — a period which, again, began at age 33. By age 40, Blanda was done as a regular QB, but he stuck around for anotherseasons as a kicker who occasionally spelled main starters Daryle Lamonica and Ken Stabler under center. I wonder how good Brady and Brees are at kicking field goals.
In many of these instances, the star quarterback had already been asked to take on less responsibility than in earlier days. Marino’s 218.6 yards per game in 1998 was one of the lowest marks of his career, and his Dolphins were
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