Free picks for MLB prop bets on September 29, swinging at today's MLB props and giving our best MLB prop picks, predictions, and baseball bets.
at this point, who desperately need a win to make the postseason and send a veteran to the mound. I like this spot.
You couldn’t imagine a better situational spot to back Kyle Hendricks on the mound than this one. The Cubs are barely hanging on to postseason hopes, and if they don’t find a win tonight, they may be done. As far as things relate to this matchup, in particular, Contreras is going to see a heavy amount of breaking balls. That’s what things look like for Hendricks in the back end of his career, as those pitches make up over 75% of his arsenal.
Why do I like this matchup for him? Expected regression is a factor, as well as Contreras' struggles against breaking ball pitchers. He enters this game with a negative run value against the curveball and an even worse ranking against the sinker. He’s one of the few players in the Brewers lineup with these struggles, which should increase the likelihood he’s pinch-hit for. At the price point, this offers some nice value.
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