Tin prices may see further support from supply risks, rate cuts, analysts say

Indonesia Berita Berita

Tin prices may see further support from supply risks, rate cuts, analysts say
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Tin prices, which have rallied in recent months to near two-year highs, could be bolstered further by supply disruptions, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, fund inflows in the event of interest rate cuts and stabilizing demand, analysts say.

On the supply side, Project Blue analyst Jack Anderson said it remained unclear whether tin mining operations in Myanmar’s Wa State would resume within the next six months, as some analysts expected. In addition, long-term exports from Indonesia will likely fall as it reserves more metal for use in domestic downstream sectors, she said.

BMI analysts increased their 2024 tin price forecast, but predicted prices could ease to around $26,000 to $32,000 a ton in the coming months due to sticky inflation and a slower pace of semiconductor sales growth, in a report published on Monday. “High levels of net spec warn that prices are overextended, as there are few new longs to enter the market,” said analyst Dan Smith at brokerage Amalgamated Metal Trading.

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