The polls seem to contain a hidden piece of good news for Biden—or do they?
have ever been so unknown, or as high-stakes, as the effect Donald Trump’s criminal trials will have on the 2024 presidential race.
Or, if various rulings and appeals don’t go his way and juries reject his attorneys’ arguments at trial, he could be found guilty and even sentenced to prison—hey, the Resistance can dream—in more than one of those cases before the election. And pollsters have tried to figure out howwould affect the election by asking voters what they would do, hypothetically, if Trump were convicted.
In a recent survey of his own, Marquette’s Franklin says he did find some crumbs of evidence suggesting that Trump could, for real, lose support if convicted. In a national poll of adults released in, Marquette asked respondents whether they supported Trump or Biden—then, later in the survey, asked whether they thought Trump behaved illegally in his effort to reverse the results of the 2020 election.
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