Moscow’s slowness to unleash its cyber might against Ukraine has scrambled long-held assumptions about the future of warfare — even as warnings grow that attacks are imminent
But it is paradoxical that even as the Russian military has bombarded civilians across the country with bombs, missiles and artillery, blasting apartments, shopping malls and evacuation corridors, its cyberattacks have been limited in scope. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been able to hold video calls with the governments of several NATO countries detailing his nation’s needs.
“If, as seems to be the case, Putin withheld knowledge of his invasion plans from large sections of the Russian military and intelligence bureaucracy, then they wouldn’t have had time to prepare those attacks, and you can’t just conjure up a powerful cyberattack overnight,” Martin said.One possibility that U.S.
But other experts disagree that U.S. and NATO efforts alone are responsible for the lack of major successful attacks. Alperovitch pointed to confirmed past Russian attacks on U.S. critical infrastructure — such as thediscovered in late 2020, and the extensive interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election — as illustrating that Washington’s cyber tactics at home alone are not enough to defend U.S. systems.
As Painter warned, Russia could be “holding those capabilities in reserve,” while Senate Intelligence Chair“The conflict is still early and we don’t underestimate Russia’s willingness to use cyber to go after Ukraine and to go after us,” House Intelligence ChairOther nations are learning lessons from the conflict
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