Republicans still have a wider path to the House majority than Democrats — but it’s narrowed a lot over the past 24 hours.
In Alaska, Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola's likely victory is central to her party's hopes for a narrow House majority. | Mark Thiessen/AP Photo
In Colorado’s newest congressional district, north of Denver, Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer conceded defeat Wednesday to Democrat Yadira Caraveo, but The Associated Press has still not declared Caraveo the winner. “That blue shift was a pattern we followed in California forever,” said Paul Mitchell, a Sacramento-based data consultant. “Until 2020, when Republicans started believing you can’t trust vote-by-mail.”
Allocating these seats — districts where our reporting and analysis suggests one of the candidates is the likely, though not certain, winner — adds 11 seats to Democrats’ column, and 4 for the GOP, tightening the battle for the majority. But it also leaves Republicans just three seats away from the majority.Democrats will also have to wait a little longer for two of their incumbents to advance, thanks to ranked-choice systems in Alaska and Maine.
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