The caucus change that has Iowa bracing for a hot mess

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The caucus change that has Iowa bracing for a hot mess
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For the first time in the history of Iowa’s Democratic caucuses, the party will report the raw vote count for each candidate — which could give multiple candidates a chance to claim victory

Among the changes to the system is the addition of so-called “preference cards,” in which each caucus-goer will fill in their name and the candidate they support. Candidates must win 15 percent support after an initial count to remain viable; if not, the candidate is eliminated. Supporters of eliminated candidates are allowed to flip over their preference cards and choose among the remaining hopefuls before a second, and final, raw vote count.

If there’s a repeat of 2016 — when Clinton won 49.8 percent of so-called state delegate equivalents, compared to Sanders’ 49.6 percent — the battle between the candidates to project themselves as the victor could be ugly. “The thing to remember is this is like ranked choice with two choices. If your first candidate doesn’t get to viability, then they go to the next choice down the line,” Price said. “For us, we don’t declare a winner, we just report out the numbers.”

“I think that people need to idle their engines a little bit,” says Penny Rosfjord, an Iowa Democratic Party district chair. “A caucus was never meant to be smooth; it’s kind of a messy process. It’s not a straightforward, check a box and move on.”

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