The case for DeSantis over Trump WashTimesOpEd
As the Republican primary contest becomes more crowded and more complicated and increases in tempo, and in the wake of the legally shaky indictment of former President Donald Trump, it might be worth taking a look at the results of recent opinion research.
Surveying respondents who more closely match those voters likely to vote in the Republican primary would probably narrow the range of Mr. Trump’s lead. The new survey results indicate that Mr. DeSantis would do better than Mr. Trump in the general election in specific battleground states. For example, in Georgia, Mr. DeSantis leads President Biden by 3 percentage points in a general election matchup.In Pennsylvania, Mr. DeSantis runs 2 points better than Mr. Biden while Mr. Trump runs 4 points behind Mr. Biden.
In Arizona, the current spread between the candidates appears greater. Mr. DeSantis runs 6 points better than Mr. Biden while Mr. Trump runs 3 points behind the president. That is also a greater margin than was evident in polling done in April. Those results indicated that Mr. DeSantis would defeat Mr. Biden nationally by 3 percentage points while Mr. Trump would lose nationally by 3 percentage points — the same margin by which he lost in 2020.
That said, at some point, presidential nominating contests not involving incumbents usually devolve into questions of which candidate is most electable.
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