State regulators are painting a bleaker-than-usual picture of the Texas electric grid ahead of this summer. Others say it is actually a pretty standard seasonal assessment.
Electric meters at an apartment in East Riverside. State officials say in a worst case scenario this summer, where there is no wind blowing and no sun shining and Texas gas, nuclear and coal power plants break down unexpectedly, grid operators may need to call for rotating blackouts.
That “unless” includes extreme scenarios in which weather drives energy demand to record highs, while electric generation from gas, nuclear, wind and solar generators all break down at the same time.“The Texas grid faces a new reality,” Public Utility Commission Chair Peter Lake said in a press conference Wednesday. “For the first time ... the peak demand for electricity this summer will exceed the amount we can generate from on-demand dispatchable power.
“The combination of all of those [things happening] is less than a 1% probability, far below that,” said Pablo Vegas, the head of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. “These are very low probability scenarios.”Vegas and Lake say this SARA represents a break from history because it paints a picture of a grid more dependent on renewables than ever before.
Some, like Metzger, suggest that the framing of this year's assessment is setting up a similar blame game if the Texas grid gets shaky this summer.
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