MSOpinion Taiwan crossroads in 2024 It will be best for peace-loving nations especially in Asia to use their diplomatic skills and moral suasion to prevent hostilities, and seek a peaceful resolution of the issues that hound the Taiwan Strait
As discussed in my previous article last Monday, April 3, the forthcoming presidential elections in January, 2024could prove to be crossroads that could determine Xi Jin-ping’s next move on what he considers a “renegade province.”
When Chiang Ching-kuo died of a heart attack arising from diabetes complications in 1988, he was succeeded by his vice-president, Lee Teng-hui, a former mayor of Taipei, who, as president, proceeded to fully dismantle authoritarian rule into a democratic system, where the president was chosen by the population in direct vote, as well as lower positions.
There is a straight line between the Taipei City Hall and the presidential palace, through the wide, tree-lined Ren-ai Boulevard. Thus it was said that whoever becomes Taipei mayor ends up in the presidency. Thus, the January 13, 2024 elections is keenly watched not only by China but the major powers with geo-political and economic interests in Taiwan, most keenly by the US of A and Japan.
Then KMT’s Lee had two terms on top of his succession of Ching-kuo; DPP’s Chen had another two; KMT’s Ma had two; followed by DPP’s Tsai who will bow down in May 2024, after transitioning to her duly elected successor in January 2024, a scant nine months away.In the DPP, current vice-president Lai Chien-jen, better known by his English name William, 64 years old by the time of elections, is a current favorite.
Though DPP, he is not too vocal against the mainland and could be a default candidate acceptable to the mainland over the other doctor, William Lai. His becoming chairman of KMT largely dismantled the “old guard” and invited younger blood into what has been derisively termed as a “jurassic” party controlled by political “dinosaurs.”
Preceding Wayne Chiang as mayor of Taipei, Ko Wen-je, another medical doctor, who after serving two terms from 2014 till 2022, is touted to be interested in running for president come January under his Taiwan People’s Party, a third force. “Nobody wants war,” a prominent businessman told me, adding that “only the politicians use war as a means to spend more money, and for the West, to sell us more arms.”
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