A former BlackRock stock chief says he thinks the S&P 500 will fall another 17% as investors ignore a growing mountain of tell-tale recession signals
But strong labor-market data and a less-hawkish Federal Reserve are distracting investors from that pain that's due to come, he said.
Take the yield curve, he said, which is at its most inverted level in more than four decades. Shorter-term bond yields rising higher than longer-term yields reflects tight monetary policy and low investor confidence in the economy's near-term prospects. The curve has inverted before every recession since the 1960s.
"What the Fed already did last year has not yet affected the economy," he told Insider on Friday."What the Fed does typically affects the economy six to 12 to 18 months after they do it, and they didn't even start until March of last year."
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