College football odds, picks and prediction for Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns. Week 11 betting free pick and game analysis.
Despite this line moving slimming from -14 to -10.5 due to Louisiana starting a third-string quarterback, we still see value in taking Southern Miss and the points. Find out why in our NCAAF betting picks below.Midweek Fun Belt gives college football fans something to cheer for — and bet on — Thursday night as the Southern Miss Golden Eagles head to Lafayette to face the Lousiana Ragin’ Cajuns., Louisiana is a 10-point home favorite while the total is set at 52.5.
The Golden Eagles rank 128th in explosiveness this year — a big reason why they check in at 114th in EPA per play and are surrendering 35.8 points per game. They’ve been especially susceptible to big gains on the ground , which would normally be a concern against a ULL offense that wants to pound out yards on the ground.
I have more confidence in Southern Miss’ ground game working in this spot against a Louisiana defense that hasn’t stopped the rush all year and just allowed 232 rushing yards and three rushing scores in a blowout loss to Arkansas State. Louisiana’s run game has been centered around the fantastic, explosive threat that Chriss brought to the table.
Southern Miss should be able to run the ball against a ULL defense that has allowed at least 116 rushing yards and a rushing score against every FBS opponent it's played this season. The Golden Eagles will be happy to feed Gore carries in this matchup and let him go to work.
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