Prominent right-wing Russian nationalists have seen their influence and public profiles rise over the past year to a point where they appear poised to shape the country’s future.
The West hoped its heavy military backing for Kyiv, the force of world opinion and the economic pressure campaign on Moscow would be enough to halt the war in Ukraine, but arguably the most critical forces confronting Russian President Vladimir Putin are much closer to home.
SEE ALSO: Chaos wrought by Russia in Ukraine reveals chilling reality: How far is Putin willing to go? “He’s in danger of being outflanked by the very political constituency he created,” he said. “The chauvinistic, nationalistic, arguably fascistic right wing that was his support base is now castigating him for not going far and hard enough.”Mr. Putin appears unyielding and unapologetic on the eve of the war’s anniversary.
Depending on how the war plays out this year, analysts say, right-wing leaders could use the campaign for the Russian presidential election in March 2024 as an opportunity to paint Mr. Putin as the core reason for the country’s battlefield failures. “We are again and again being forced to resist the aggression of the collective West,” Mr. Putin said in a speech this month marking the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany in the Battle of Stalingrad. “The legacy of generations, values and traditions — this is all what makes Russia different, what makes us strong and confident in ourselves, in our righteousness and in our victory.
“Prigozhin falsely denied ever criticizing the Russian conventional military & inaccurately presented his critiques as similar to the commonly expressed frustrations among Russian milbloggers,” she wrote. “Prigozhin also denied having political aspirations.” Igor Girkin, a popular Russian military blogger who played a key role in Moscow’s forced annexation of Crimea in 2014, blasted Russian leadership in December after a series of Ukrainian airstrikes inside Russian territory. It was a massive symbolic blow that undermined Russia’s supposed status as one of the world’s top powers.
Should prominent right-wing figures fully turn on the Russian president ahead of the March 2024 election, it could mark a turning point in the war and a dangerous moment for the planet because Mr. Putin could take desperate measures to retain his credibility. “That’s the point where these people, the right wing, will have a possibility, in my mind, to put strong, strong pressure on him. That’s the critical point. That’s the point where he’s really vulnerable,” he said. “I’m afraid of this time. If he’s afraid he cannot show results, what would he do? A nuclear attack? I strongly believe not. But for the right wing, it would be their time.”
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