Russia's nuclear arsenal is huge, but will Putin use it?

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Russia's nuclear arsenal is huge, but will Putin use it?
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The prospect of global nuclear war has been a line that neither Russia or the West were willing to cross. Now, Experts in Russian doctrine worry that as the war in Ukraine gets more desperate, Russia might be tempted to detonate a nuclear weapon.

A Russian Iskander-M missile launcher parades through Red Square in central Moscow on May 7, 2022. The Iskander is one of several Russian systems that can launch nuclear weapons.KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP via Getty Images

"We are at this fairly dangerous junction," says Pavel Podvig, a senior researcher at the U.N. Institute for Disarmament Research who tracks Russia's nuclear forces. Podvig says he thinks the likelihood Russia would use a nuclear weapon is"extremely low." But he adds,"I do worry."At the height of the Cold War, both the U.S. and the Soviet Union amassed enormous stockpiles of nuclear weapons.

"For Russia, nuclear weapons, in particular non-strategic nuclear weapons, are really intended to counterbalance what they see as U.S. and NATO conventional superiority," Fink says., including 1,000-2,000 tactical nuclear weapons, says Hans Kristensen, head of the nuclear information project at the Federation of American Scientists, a Washington think tank. While the public often imagines tactical nukes as smaller weapons, Kristensen says the Russian arsenal is diverse.

A medical worker runs past a burning car after a Russian attack in Kyiv. Russia has many non-nuclear drones and missiles capable of hitting far behind the front lines.A medical worker runs past a burning car after a Russian attack in Kyiv. Russia has many non-nuclear drones and missiles capable of hitting far behind the front lines.

"I think as his position gets more dire, the more willing he might be to gamble for resurrection with nuclear use," Kroenig says.

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