Republicans could lose a second red state governor's election

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Republicans could lose a second red state governor's election
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It's down to the wire in Louisiana's gubernatorial runoff election | Analysis by Harry Enten

It's down to the wire in Louisiana's gubernatorial runoff election. In the Saturday election, Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards is trying to hold on against Republican Eddie Rispone. It's the second election in a deep red state in as many weeks that's pitted local versus national factors.

History and polling suggest it's really close, though perhaps with the slightest edge to Edwards. Edwards is, by all accounts, a popular governor. His approval rating is north of 50% in pretty much every poll taken of the Louisiana electorate. He wins if this election is a referendum on his record. Rispone hopes to capitalize on a trend of governor elections becoming increasingly nationalized.

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