In 2019 Russia will likely try to influence the EU Parliament elections and keep preparing for armed conflict with NATO, according to the latest annual threat assessment produced by the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service.
Russia will target the May 2019 European Parliamentary elections, the report says, with a likely focus on the larger member states — Germany, France, and Italy — where it can hope to have the most influence on the composition of the EU Parliament, whose members are elected for five-year terms.
According to the report, Russian intelligence and special services use human, cyber, and signals intelligence — electronic and radio signals — to gather information, including tapping into civilian communication services inside and outside the country. Most units are based near Ukraine and Belarus, but one division, the Pskov Air Assault Division, near the Estonian border"became the first division of Russian Airborne Troops to be reinforced with a third regiment."Analyzing Russia's most recent exercises, the report finds that"Russian armed forces are consistently practicing for an extensive military conflict with NATO.
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