The warnings about Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko’s seeming inability to wrest himself and his country out from under Putin’s control come amid signs that Putin might be edging closer and closer to taking over Belarus completely.
For years, Belarus and Russia have been working on forming a “union state” to tie the countries closer together. They have agreed to combine multiple sectors within Russia and Belarus, such as the countries’ militaries and economies. Interlacing them all has always been the goal.
“I remember in meetings with him he was always uncomfortable with Western diplomats. And his eyes—I just remember his eyes… he always seemed to be looking for how to get out of the room, how to escape. He just seemed uncomfortable,” Yalowitz told The Daily Beast. “I just always had the feeling that this is a guy who values freedom—personal freedom—and did not like to be tied down or pinned down in any way.
Belarusian opposition figures have warned previously that Russia has designs on Belarus beyond just forming the “union state.” Fears are growing among the opposition that Putin considers Belarus another country to conquer after Ukraine,“Russians are looking at us in the same light as they look at Ukraine,” Kavaleuski said at the time. “‘This is a state that is temporarily dependent. This is the nation that does not deserve to be next to Russia, so they all have to be “Russified.
Lukashenko’s ability to resist Putin’s influence could be tested soon. It’s not clear what kind of attack would convince Lukashenko to join the war directly and send troops into Ukraine. But following his remarks, there are signs already that Moscow may be plotting a false flag attack against Belarus in order to drag it into the war, according to the“Most likely, the goal is to accuse the Ukrainian defenders of violating territorial integrity.
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