The PAGASA on Tuesday, April 18 projected an 80 percent chance of El Niño developing between June and August, up from the previous forecast of 55 percent last month. | ManilaBulletin READ:
The probability of El Niño developing during the June-August period has increased to 80 percent.
PAGASA Deputy Administrator Esperanza Cayanan in a televised briefing said they may upgrade its advisory from “El Niño Watch” to “El Niño Alert” in May, as the probability of El Niño developing during the June-August period has increased to 80 percent. “So from El Niño watch, by next month, May, we will be issuing the second level which is El Niño alert kung saan mayroon po tayong above 70 percent probability of El Niño occurrence for the next two months,” Cayanan said.
“From previous experience po natin, puwede po tayong maka-experience ng extreme rainfall event kagaya po ng isang example noong Ondoy noong 2009 wherein nagkaroon po kasi tayo ng El Niño 2009, 2010. Pero bago natin naramdaman iyong kakulangan sa tubig, naka-experience po tayo ng extreme [rainfall] events “Ang posibleng impacts po nito [El Niño] in some areas of the country ay iyon pong drought or dry spell, but this will be felt towards the last quarter ,” she added.
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