Saturday's El Clasico -- live on ESPN+ -- always comes down the little things given the power of the two teams. Here's your in-depth primer on why Barcelona and Real Madrid will or won't win.
Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior and Barcelona's Gavi get into it during El Clasico last year. Emotions tend to run high when these two LaLiga powerhouse teams face off. were evenly matched ... to a time when Real Madrid and Barcelona were two of the five best teams in the world., no other club in the world is clearly better than either of these two Spanish teams. As such, they're both top-five favorites in the betting markets to win the Champions League.
There are a number of ways to measure pressing. Most popularly, there's PPDA , which essentially looks at how many passes a team allows in its attacking third before attempting a defensive action. Barcelona lead LaLiga with a PPDA of 8.70, while Real Madrid rank 14th with 12.83.it is at it. To get a clearer picture, we can bring in opposition pass-completion percentage. Barca, once again, rate top of LaLiga with opponents completing their passes just 75% of the time so far this season.
On top of that, the combination of only playing two players in the front line and an extremely athletic four-man midfield simply makes it harder to play through Madrid. They're also allowing a league-low number of touches inside their own box: On top of that, Barcelona have allowed 0.12 xG per-90 from opposition counters, which ranks just 15th in the league. This, then, seems like the most likely area to decide Saturday's match. If Barca can press Madrid's countering opportunities to death before they even begin, their defense should be comfortable. But if Madrid can get out and run, it could be a long day for the hosts.
If you had a team with four uber-skilled midfielders and two wide forwards who loved to dribble, your problem wouldn't be moving the ball forward or even getting it into the box. Your problem would be -- and"Problem" belongs in quotes here, though, because Madrid still rank second in non-penalty xG per 90 minutes. They're leading the league in shots attempted with 17.8 per 90 minutes, but that's paired with a league-average level of shot-quality: 0.1 xG per shot.
Lewandowski's main skill is the main thing Madrid don't do all that well: getting off shots in the center of the penalty area. Unlike Bellingham, though, his finishing has been a bit wayward so far this season: four non-penalty goals from 5.36 xG.
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