Our future will be influenced by the face of the future cabinet.
After the Constitutional Court decided the election dispute case, public attention shifted to the formation of the cabinet. In practice, Prabowo Subianto and Gibran Rakabuming Raka still have four months left to prepare the cabinet before the swearing-in of the president-vice president on October 20, 2024.
The stability of coalitions in the presidential system, which involves multi-party and cabinet formations, has long been a topic extensively discussed by researchers in Indonesia. Some studies have concluded that the stability of a multi-party presidential coalition is influenced by political and economic concessions and accommodations .
Several studies, particularly in Latin America, have shown that political agreement among coalition members built before elections can determine cabinet stability . Pre-election coalitions can be more stable because there is trust among coalition members and agreement on the allocation and portfolio of the cabinet.Waiting for the Birth of the"Zaken" Cabinet
Solidarity can also be formed due to agreements related to the formation and composition of the cabinet. However, political instability can also occur, for example, there may be sharp differences in ideology or policy platforms between parties in the coalition, both pre-election and post-election coalitions.
In the first period of SBY's administration, for example, the Democratic Party received a large allocation in the cabinet despite only getting 10 percent of seats in the parliament. The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle also gained a large portion, both in the first and second terms of Jokowi's presidency .
A bloated cabinet certainly poses risks in several aspects, such as difficulties in managing internal conflicts and ensuring coalition members' discipline, as well as coordination difficulties and lengthy decision-making processes.
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