Canada's brashest Conservative is surging in the polls. His biggest problem: An election could be two years away.
Canada’s brashest Conservative is surging in the polls. His biggest problem: An election could be two years away.
The 44-year-old Poilievre is not as unpredictable as Donald Trump, and he’s not fighting culture wars with the vigor of Ron DeSantis. Instead, Poilievre is refashioning his own brand of conservatism. Poilievre was the undisputed star this month when more than 2,500 Conservative Party faithful gathered for a policy convention in Quebec City. The Centre des congrès de Québec buzzed at Poilievre’s ability to reunite a party that had splintered since losing power to Trudeau’s Liberals in 2015.
His first order of business in government would be canceling the government’s carbon tax. His catchphrase — “axe the tax” — is fit for a bumper sticker. He caps most rallies with the same refrain: “Your home. My home. Our home. Bring it home.”Poilievre also mixes in bombast at rallies, hurling insults at the 51-year-old Trudeau’s government and faceless “gatekeepers” — even municipal officials who approve housing permits.
Batters pointed to Poilievre’s rally-style convention speech, in which he closed on an image of a young couple savoring a home they could afford, one of them clutching a hard-earned paycheck on a warm midsummer night. The Tories would grant federal funding to cities that “pre-approve building permits for high-density housing and employment on all available land surrounding transit stations.” They promise to sell off 15 percent of the 30,000-plus federal buildings owned by Ottawa.
The Conservatives recently broke a yearslong statistical polling tie with the Liberals, soaring ahead by double digits in successive surveys published by major polling firms. Some convention delegates doubted the trustworthiness of summertime polls when most Canadians aren’t thinking about politics. Coletto insists Poilievre’s traction is legitimate.The positive momentum has produced more unity among Conservatives than at any point since Stephen Harper, the beloved founding leader of the party, last forged a winning Conservative voter coalition in 2011.
Nobody at the convention represented party unity as explicitly as Peter MacKay, a center-right former Progressive Conservative leader who teamed up with Harper’s right-wing Canadian Alliance party to unite the right in 2003. Delegates overwhelmingly approved a new policy that would prohibit “life-altering medicinal or surgical interventions on minors under 18 to treat gender confusion or dysphoria.” They passed another that would guarantee single-sex spaces and sports categories to women, which they also defined as a “female person.
“All you have to give them is a chance to talk,” he says. “In the rest of their life, the thing that drives them the craziest isn’t not being part of the mainstream. It’s being told they’re not allowed to talk.”The way progressive politicians tell it, a Poilievre-led Canada would careen into a Trumpian nightmare in which the federal government abandons commitments to fighting climate change while anti-immigrant, anti-trans, anti-science groups gain substantial influence in the halls of power.
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