Correa is adept at getting on base and his defense is strong enough. The question is whether he can stay healthy over the course of a long-term deal.
Last in a four-part series on the star free-agent shortstops who are expected to draw interest from numerous teams, including theWhen shortstop Carlos Correa opted out of his three year, $105 million deal with the Minnesota Twins this offseason, he sent a clear message to the rest of the baseball world: He thinks he is worth more, and is willing to test that theory in the free-agent market.
Luckily for Correa, there are teams out there — like the Phillies — who are willing to pay big to get what they need, but the question is whether Correa fits that mold. He reportedly wants a deal in the eight-year range, and while Correa is young — he turned 28 on Sept. 22 — his durability could be questioned.
The shortstop played 136 regular-season games in 2022 and 148 games in 2021 but just 75 in 2019 and 110 in 2018. Correa has a lengthy injury history that includes serious back discomfort that sidelined him for parts of 2018 and 2019 seasons. While he is undoubtedly athletic, signing him to an eight-year deal would involve some risk.
Correa’s main strength lies in his offense — particularly his ability to get on base. He posted a 140 OPS+ in 2022, and his .366 on-base percentage ranked second among all big league shortstops . He has good plate discipline — walking at a 10.3% clip in 2022, which, like his OBP, ranked second among all MLB shortstops — and he ranked third among that group in batting average at .291.
The other side of his game is a more complicated story. Correa’s defensive metrics took a dip this past season, but talent evaluators said the eye test suggested that his defense was better than the numbers indicated. In 2022, Correa saw his outs above average fall from 12 to minus-3, and his defensive runs saved fall from 20 to three. This was an unexpected change, given that Correa was
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