We’re breaking down #4 Penn State’s clash with Purdue. Is this the year James Franklin and company can break through? Is Drew Allar elite? We will find out on Saturday.
Penn State tight end Tyler Warren carries during the fourth quarter of an NCAA college football game against Washington, Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024, in State College, Pa.Penn State will try to continue its march toward the Big Ten championship when it heads west for a date with unranked Purdue on Saturday in West Lafayette, Indiana.
The Nittany Lions are undefeated on the road this season, sporting a 3-0 record in games played outside of Happy Valley. Penn State has two double-digit road wins, sandwiched around a 33-30 overtime win over USC in Los Angeles, but has won just three of its nine games by at least three scores. Considering the Boilermakers also rank 119th in yards-against per game and dead last among Power-4 teams in points-against per game , this looks like a game for the dominant Penn State rushing attack to feast.
Though even though we cannot advocate a moneyline wager – even as a parlay leg – it is still probably safe to bet Penn State to cover the four-plus touchdown spread, and it would be even better if you find it -28. Even with the insane spread, and super-low total, it is worth wagering on the Under too.The Nittany Lions are a run-first team, a function of their status in the Big Ten and championship pedigree.
But what is more likely is the Nittany Lions get ahead early – probably by double digits – thus getting Purdue behind the game script. Then Penn State will unleash its superb pass rush on Boilermakers quarterback Hudson Card. Card has been sacked 17 times in seven games, and the Nittany Lions rank tied for sixth in the Big Ten in sacks this season.Either running back’s number of attempts or yards would also be worth considering, as would Allar’s potential rushing-attempts prop too.
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