This weekend, a massive, uncontrolled rocket booster is predicted to hurtle back to Earth, with a high chance that at least some of the debris will be large enough to survive the descent and smash into our planet.
The booster is 53.6 meters long and weighs around 23 metric tons, and belongs to a recently launched Chinese rocket.
The good news is, the chances of this latest descent causing significant damage are pretty low. The bad news is that as of now we don't have a solid idea of where the rocket booster will likely crash. Researchers around the globe are working hard to figure that part out. So far, they're pretty sure the reentry will happen on 31 July 2022, and is likely to fall beneath the yellow and blue swirling lines in the map below.Above: Yellow and blue lines show the area of potential reentry. The yellow icon shows where the rocket booster will be at the midpoint of the reentry window, and the orange line shows where the reentry may be visible from.
"Due to the uncontrolled nature of its descent, there is a non-zero probability of the surviving debris landing in a populated area – over 88 percent of the world's population lives under the reentry's potential debris footprint," the Aerospace Corporation, a company that's tracking the booster's reentry,"A reentry of this size will not burn up in the Earth's atmosphere, and the general rule of thumb is that 20-40 percent of the mass of a large object will...
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