Paid Program for CMEGroup: Gold prices have fallen in large part due to economic data strengthening the dollar.
Published on May 7th, 2019
The U.S. economy isn’t doing great but that has not stopped the dollar from gaining value. The market’s appetite for U.S. dollars is driven by a few factors — the performance of the economy, the performance of stocks, yields,While GDP growth peaked in 2018 and the Federal Reserve stopped raising interest rates in response to the slowdown in the economy, stocks hit six-month highs in April, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500. This fostered an appetite for risk that is encouraged by low volatility.
We know that central bankers are worried about global growth but the moves in equities fail to recognize these concerns. Stocks could peak if U.S.-China trade talks turn south or the EU-U.S. trade war heats up but there’s a lot of chatter about a signing summit between President Trump and President Xi in May. An intensification of the EU-U.S. trade war would be more realistic. Earnings could also tip stocks lower but so far they haven’t been terrible.
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