Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz has taken the lead from Democrat Lt. Gov. John Fetterman in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race.
In the governor’s race, Shapiro leads Mastriano by 2.1 percentage points, at 48.5 percent and 46.4 percent, respectively. Just 1.8 percent of respondents plan to vote for another candidate, and 3.4 percent are undecided. The Fox 29/Insider Advantage poll had the republican 7 points back.
Oz and Mastriano are following a similar trend of Republicans across the country who are surging after facing what appeared to be uphill battles in late summer polls, but Wick Insightsthat a significant change in public opinion has not coincided with the Republican surge.
In mid-October, we went into the field not knowing that boosted individuals were answering polls at much higher rates than vaxxed-not-boosted or not-vaxxed. When we recognized this imbalance, we made adjustments and then relied on weighting to correct the rest. Unfortunately, we do not know the exact percentage of likely voters that are boosted, so we just set it to 40% in each state.
The poll sampled 1013 likely voters from October 8-14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3,1 percentage points.