Opinion: Where will all the Wagner Group mercenaries go now that Russia has exiled their leader? (via latimesopinion )
Russian oligarch turned warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin is in exile in Belarus, but what will become of the tens of thousands of fighters who signed up to risk their lives for a paycheck or a ticket out of jail? It seems likely they will continue fighting, mostly because they have few better options.
It appears the paramilitary Wagner Group will endure as a fighting force in some form, regardless of whether Prigozhin returns from exile or summons his troops to join him in Belarus. How, or if, the leadership vacuum is filled matters little, though, if the Wagner troops do not remain on the job. Who are these fighters and will they remain loyal to Prigozhin or the Wagner organization in the wake of last week’s so-called “march of justice,” which took 25,000 of them on a risky trek from Ukraine to Moscow? A look at the fighters’ background and circumstances suggests few will opt to quit and go home.
Over the course of the past two decades, my work on mercenaries has shown that private forces are often motivated to sign up by money. In the case of Wagner, many also sign up to avoid serving their full. Either way, once they’re in, it can be difficult or impossible for Wagner fighters to get out until their contract terms are up.
Wagner fighters are paid significantly more than their counterparts in the Russian army, which may explain the potential unwillingness to have their Wagner contracts converted over to the official Russian military by
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