Older voters' patterns of behavior—plus the potential implications of coronavirus—could be a very dangerous thing for Donald Trump
to the overall voter surge.) Luckily for Democrats, failure to energize the youth vote—a widespread concern now thatlooks to be the likely nominee—isn’t the end of the road. Older voters are playing an increasingly determinative role in our politics. And their patterns of behavior, plus the potential implications of coronavirus, could be a very dangerous thing forIt is no secret that older voters are an important bloc, but it is not widely understood how rapidly they’ve grown in importance.
There is variability in all turnout numbers, but the long-term trends all favor older voters, for two reasons. The first is simply that seniors are the, averaging about 70% participation rates in presidential elections, about 6% higher than the nearest group, and almost double the voting rates of 18- to 24-year-olds. This was not always the case.
Seniors also play an increasing role in American politics simply because the U.S. is getting older. People over 65 now comprise roughly 16% of the U.S. population, an increase from 12.4% at around the turn of the century. By 2050,. Moreover, the importance of the 65-plus vote is magnified because it’s concentrated in states that will determine the 2020 election.
Crucially, Trump is vulnerable with the senior set. He has some natural appeal—“Make America Great Again” resonates with a group susceptible to the notion that rapid change has undermined the exceptionalism of years past. That translated to some success in 2016, when Trump
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