House Republicans head to an annual retreat Thursday with few wins.
A parade of Republican retirements. Red flags about the economy. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings under water. A nail-biter race in a GOP stronghold.
When Trump gathers with House Republicans for their three-day retreat, the party will at least have a fresh pair of victories to rally around: Republican Dan Bishop narrowly beat out Democrat Dan McCready on Tuesday to represent North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, a race that was widely seen as a test case for 2020. Bishop benefited from a swell of GOP support among rural voters, suggesting Trump’s appeal is still strong with a central pillar of his base.
Beneath the surface, however, there are a host of reasons for Republicans to be rattled by Bishop’s 2-point victory. The GOP had to go all-out to save the seat in a district that Trump won by 12 points in 2016 and which has been in Republican hands since the 1960s. And Bishop performed poorly in the suburbs, a key battleground where voters fled the GOP last year.
Several of the retirements have been especially devastating for the GOP. The party is losing Rep. Will Hurd of Texas, a rising young star and the only black Republican in the House; Rep. Martha Roby of Alabama and Brooks, two of the GOP’s 13 female lawmakers; and longtime Rep. John Shimkus of Illinois, who is roommates with Minority Whip Steve Scalise .
One key factor that could influence races up and down the ballot next year, lawmakers say, is the strength of the economy. The GOP is banking on strong economic growth and low unemployment rates to serve as their calling card in 2020.
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Ominous signs could sink Republicans’ chances of retaking the HouseHouse Republicans head to an annual retreat Thursday with few wins.
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