Investors and companies are facing the most complex global landscape in decades, as political conditions once regarded as enduring give way to profound and unpredictable change. Events of the past week underscore the turbulence.
, a routine step needed to pay the government’s bills, without spending concessions from President Biden, which the White House has ruled out.on U.S. creditworthiness, which permanently increased the cost of borrowing for the federal government, businesses and homeowners, according to Richard Bernstein of the Wall Street firm that bears his name.Most financial assets are priced in comparison to U.S. treasuries, which are generally regarded as risk free.
“This is a really big deal for the U.S., the cost of capital,” Bernstein said. “People think of 2011 as a nonevent. But the markets aren’t that stupid.” Major global shifts have been brewing for several years. In 2016, voters in the United Kingdom approved a proposal to quit the European Union after nearly a half-century of membership. Two years later, President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on products from China and other nations, marking the end of several decades of gradual liberalization of global trade.To varying degrees, governments in the United States, Europe and China are all now emphasizing a greater economic role for the state.
In the United States, President Biden is subsidizing domestic semiconductor production, deploying generous tax incentives for green energy development and helming a $1 trillion infrastructure push. On Friday, the Treasury Department issued
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