The chances have plummeted that a newly-discovered asteroid with the potential to wipe out a city will hit Earth on Valentine's Day 2046, the European Space Agency said on Tuesday.
The chances have plummeted that a newly-discovered asteroid with the potential to wipe out a city will hit Earth on Valentine's Day 2046, the European Space Agency said on Tuesday.
Late last month the asteroid was given a one in 847 chance of hitting Earth -- but the odds rose to one in 432 on Sunday, according to the ESA's risk list. "We tend to be a little more conservative, but it definitely appears to now have a downward trend in probability," NASA's planetary defence officer Lindley Johnson told AFP.
While the Earth is still inside that uncertainty region, the odds temporarily increase -- until further observations exclude Earth and the probability drops down to zero, as is expected to happen with 2023 DW.But what would happen in the increasingly unlikely event that the asteroid does strike Earth?
Moissl said that an asteroid the size of 2023 DW would create "regionalised destruction" and not have a major effect on the rest of the world. There would be a roughly 70 percent chance it lands in the Pacific Ocean, but the potential strike zone would also include the United States, Australia or Southeast Asia, Moissl said.Even if the asteroid is heading our way, the experts emphasised that the world is no longer defenceless against such a threat.
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‘No need to worry’: Odds drop that newly found asteroid will hit EarthThe chances have plummeted that a newly discovered asteroid with the potential to wipe out a city will hit Earth on Valentine&39;s Day 2046, the European Space Agency said on Tuesday.
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